Currency Trading Information


Where is the Market Going?


If you ask me whether the market will have moved up or down by this time next year, well I may as well flip a coin, because I don't know.

If you ask me whether the market will have moved up or down by this time next month, well again, I may as well flip a coin, because I still don't know.

If you ask me whether the market will have moved up or down by this time next week, AGAIN, I may as well flip a coin, because I don't know.

And if you ask me whether the market will have moved up or down by this time tomorrow, I am sorry, but I JUST DON'T KNOW!

But? if you ask me whether the market will move up or down in next few minutes, well I will have a definite opinion. Why? Because if I can see the CURRENT state of buying and selling in the market NOW, then I can make a reasoned and fairly accurate estimate of what the market will do in the next few minutes and moments.

My prediction will not be based on some secret formula; it will not be based on some esoteric sounding indicator, nor on some complex mathematical equation. No, it will be based on my evaluation of the current state of supply and demand.

Predicting the long-term movements of the markets is a guessing game. All we have to go on is the past; all we can reasonably do is assume that what has happened in the past will continue to happen in the future. Basically that is what trend following is, making the assumption that the past equals the future.

In my trading world, the only law that works is that of supply and demand: if there are more buyers than sellers then the market will go up; and if there are more sellers than buyers the market will go down.

It matters not one iota the whys and wherefores of the buyers and the sellers. It does not matter that a trader has chosen to sell now because the 9 period moving average has crossed the 14 period; or because he has just lost his shirt; or because he is taking a profit; or because he is just plain bored.

No, I don't care why a trader has entered a buy or a sell order, I just care that they have, by their act, added to either the buying or the selling pressure.

Malcolm Robinson
LIFFE Pit Trader & Electronic Trader
InstinctiveTrader.com


MORE RESOURCES:

msnbc.com

UBS Gaining Market Share In Currency Trading
Fox Business
ZURICH -- As it is moving towards conducting more flow business on behalf of clients, UBS AG (UBS) is gaining market share in currency trading, Tom Naratil, chief financial officer at Switzerland's largest bank, said Tuesday.
UBS warns of poor Q1 as investment bank strugglesReuters

all 280 news articles »


FXstreet.com

Currency trading in London surges
Financial Times
Currency trading over the summer was unusually high as tensions mounted over the eurozone crisis, with July and August, traditionally quieter months for the foreign exchange markets, seeing strong trading volumes. Investment banks have also reported ...
UK Currency Trading Fell 3% in October From April to $1.97 Trillion/DayBloomberg
Forex Trading Volume Drops for First Time Since 2009Wall Street Journal

all 15 news articles »


India Eases Currency Trading Limits for Some Banks
Wall Street Journal
By SUDEEP JAIN MUMBAI -- India's central bank has asked banks to approach it individually for relaxing some foreign currency trading limits and has already eased restrictions for some banks, a top official said Monday. "Some limits, based on their ...

and more »


Two Principals of Foreign Currency Trading Firm Sentenced for $17 Million ...
LoanSafe
by Evan Bedard on February 3, 2012 in Scams (Source: FBI) – CHICAGO—Two principals of a foreign currency trading firm that collapsed in 2007 were sentenced to 17 years and 12.5 years in federal prison, respectively, after pleading guilty to fraud ...
2 sentenced for stealing millions in fraud schemeHarrisburg Daily Register
Feds: 2 sentenced for stealing $17 million in fraudChicago Tribune

all 34 news articles »


Foreign Currency Trader Sentenced on Tax Charges
Accounting Today
By Michael Cohn, Accounting Today An investor in a foreign currency trading fund has been sentenced to five years in prison for evading more than $150000 in taxes. William H. Nurick, 76, of Camarillo, Calif., was sentenced to 60 months in prison and ...

and more »


FOCUS: Technology Buoys Retail Currency Trading, Reshapes Old Models
Wall Street Journal
By Eva Szalay Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES LONDON (Dow Jones)--Retail foreign-exchange trading is emerging as one of the biggest growth areas in the currencies space, and some of the trading firms that facilitate these flows are building up a whole new ...

and more »


Argentina Sends Tax Agents to Control Currency Trading
Wall Street Journal
Afip said that one well-known currency trading business, Banco Piano, refused to let inspectors do their job. As a result, Afip officials interviewed Banco Piano customers outside three of the company's branches. The government will fine Banco Piano ...

and more »


Morgan Stanley Currency-Trading Head Stephen Mettler Leaves Bank
BusinessWeek
By Michael J. Moore Jan. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Stephen Mettler, who oversaw Morgan Stanley's interest rates and foreign-exchange trading businesses, has left the bank. Mettler, who joined the firm in 1997, retired, according to an internal memo obtained by ...

and more »


BBC News

Europe must do 'real' business
BBC News
This currency trading worth $4 trillion does not create any jobs or spin off any business. So it is not a very productive kind of activity. Justin Rowlatt: Now obviously currency trading has been a big issue for you, hasn't it?

and more »


German Industrial Production Plummets
TheStreet.com
DailyFX is the forex news and research arm of FXCM, Inc (NYSE: FXCM), which provides currency trading and brokerage services and is an advertiser on TheStreet websites. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information is provided as ...

and more »

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